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WHAT ARE FOOTBALL RANKINGS AND RATINGS?

Updated 15 January 2012

There are rankings and ratings out there that are not the real thing. Rankings and ratings do not consider type of field, weather, injuries, or other factors that affect games. They are a specific formula or a set of fixed rules that cannot be added to or subtracted from and indicate only where a team fits in the big picture, not a particular day. Vegas uses various factors to set the line so that half of the gamblers bet on one side and half bet on the other. That way the casinos make money. If too many are on one side, the line is adjusted enough to make the other side enticing. A ranking system that takes various changing factors and the line into consideration in order to get more winners either straight up or against the line are not true rankings. They are manipulated.

Nutshell Sports Ratings uses a specific formula that gradually moves teams toward their correct position through the duration of the season. Once a team settles into its correct position, there is little movement. Below is this season's chart of movement. You will discern that as the season progresses there is less movement. There are no numbers jumping upward and downward - only a smooth, fluid movement.

Nutshell Sports has no favorite team or conference. All games and all teams are treated exactly the same.

And here's how it all came out:

 
pre w01 w02 w03 w04 w05 w06 w07 w08 w09 w10 w11 w12 w13 w14
















7 6 6 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 LSU
5 4 4 4 4 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 Alabama
2 1 1 1 2 3 4 5 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 Stanford
1 3 3 2 3 4 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 5 4 Oregon
8 8 10 10 10 12 12 11 11 10 8 6 5 4 5 Arkansas
32 33 28 21 21 19 20 16 16 14 14 9 7 6 6 USC
9 10 8 6 6 5 6 6 5 7 9 10 11 8 7 Wisconsin
10 11 9 8 7 7 7 8 9 6 5 5 6 7 8 Oklahoma State
12 13 15 14 14 13 11 10 10 9 12 12 12 9 9 South Carolina
11 7 7 7 5 6 5 4 7 8 7 8 10 13 10 Oklahoma
14 14 12 13 12 9 8 7 6 5 6 7 8 10 11 Boise State
22 21 25 29 32 28 30 23 14 12 10 11 9 11 12 Michigan State
3 2 2 5 8 11 13 12 12 13 13 15 15 16 13 Auburn
4 9 13 16 16 33 41 40 35 29 28 17 13 12 14 TCU
37 39 38 37 38 34 22 15 18 16 15 13 14 14 15 Georgia
42 40 35 32 29 21 19 24 22 25 20 21 20 19 16 Texas
18 18 17 18 20 25 32 27 25 26 25 19 17 15 17 Virginia Tech
13 12 11 11 11 14 15 21 20 24 24 23 21 17 18 Mississippi State
21 26 36 34 37 36 29 29 30 23 23 20 19 18 19 Notre Dame
61 62 59 53 46 39 34 22 17 17 19 22 22 21 20 Kansas State
16 15 16 15 18 16 26 28 31 22 16 14 16 20 21 Florida State
20 19 19 17 17 15 14 14 13 15 21 25 24 25 22 Texas A&M
15 16 14 12 9 8 10 13 15 20 26 26 26 24 23 Florida
65 46 45 46 33 26 18 26 27 35 42 45 32 28 24 Baylor
79 79 78 79 79 79 75 74 64 57 48 36 27 22 25 Houston
19 20 20 19 19 18 17 19 19 18 29 31 34 36 26 Nebraska
66 66 60 55 52 45 37 36 36 34 35 33 37 31 27 Michigan
35 36 37 36 40 41 46 45 42 36 31 28 25 29 28 Missouri
33 35 32 26 15 10 9 9 8 11 11 16 23 38 29 Clemson
26 27 26 24 25 22 16 18 24 30 36 41 41 46 30 West Virginia
49 43 40 41 42 43 45 50 48 48 46 35 31 27 31 California
31 32 29 22 22 20 21 17 23 28 27 18 18 23 32 Utah
34 34 27 30 27 24 23 20 21 19 18 24 29 33 33 Washington
41 49 49 40 35 37 35 32 28 31 32 29 28 37 34 Miami
64 64 56 50 53 54 54 65 72 64 59 62 36 26 35 Iowa State
46 45 55 57 56 60 70 71 63 59 56 48 45 34 36 Louisville
25 25 22 25 23 23 27 31 34 38 34 40 44 48 37 Tennessee
24 24 23 23 24 27 33 34 38 37 38 34 38 39 38 North Carolina
52 54 50 45 36 31 24 33 44 42 40 44 50 45 39 Georgia Tech
6 5 5 9 13 17 25 30 32 27 17 27 33 49 40 Ohio State
63 67 63 60 59 57 55 55 52 53 54 46 35 35 41 Tulsa
57 57 65 62 58 50 50 42 40 39 33 37 49 47 42 Cincinnati
48 48 48 52 55 55 56 54 56 55 57 50 47 43 43 BYU
36 37 43 44 51 56 57 57 55 56 50 51 48 41 44 NC State
75 76 72 72 75 75 73 64 60 52 45 38 30 30 45 Virginia
29 22 24 27 28 29 38 44 45 44 44 43 43 40 46 Pittsburgh
60 58 57 65 67 71 76 80 79 78 63 52 42 32 47 Northwestern
45 44 44 43 34 32 31 35 29 32 37 47 52 56 48 Texas Tech
73 72 66 64 62 53 43 38 37 43 53 56 55 51 49 Wake Forest
28 31 31 35 48 52 60 59 59 62 60 57 54 50 50 Kentucky
39 38 34 33 31 35 36 46 53 54 62 63 59 55 51 South Florida
47 47 47 47 49 58 58 58 50 49 51 55 57 54 52 Oregon State
59 60 58 49 44 44 39 39 39 47 58 58 56 58 53 Iowa
44 55 62 66 70 69 64 63 62 61 52 49 46 42 54 UCLA
40 42 51 61 61 73 78 76 75 71 68 64 61 52 55 Boston College
23 23 21 28 30 30 28 25 26 21 22 32 51 62 56 Arizona State
91 92 82 74 65 66 59 56 57 60 61 59 58 53 57 Vanderbilt
56 61 69 70 76 74 67 68 58 50 41 42 53 59 58 Southern Miss
43 41 42 42 41 42 42 41 41 41 39 39 39 44 59 Penn State
78 77 74 73 72 61 52 47 47 46 49 54 60 61 60 Rutgers
30 29 33 38 43 46 47 48 46 45 47 60 63 64 61 Arizona
17 17 18 20 26 38 40 37 33 33 30 30 40 60 62 Nevada
83 83 86 87 86 87 88 87 86 80 75 71 64 57 63 Louisiana Tech
51 52 52 51 54 51 53 61 67 65 65 65 65 63 64 Air Force
67 65 64 68 69 67 66 67 70 73 74 72 67 67 65 Washington State
80 80 84 85 82 68 69 51 43 40 43 53 68 74 66 SMU
54 53 53 56 57 59 61 62 54 51 55 61 62 69 67 Syracuse
68 71 71 76 77 77 79 81 80 84 90 82 80 70 68 Colorado
71 70 67 54 50 48 44 43 51 63 64 69 76 79 69 Illinois
27 28 41 58 64 80 86 83 82 77 73 73 73 66 70 Connecticut
50 51 39 39 45 47 51 52 66 70 69 67 74 72 71 C. Florida
85 86 88 89 89 91 89 89 85 82 84 68 66 65 72 Purdue
90 90 91 90 92 86 81 77 68 68 66 66 72 75 73 Toledo
86 84 87 83 73 72 68 60 71 69 78 91 89 88 74 Temple
55 56 54 48 47 49 49 49 49 58 67 76 75 76 75 San Diego State
62 63 61 63 66 63 63 69 65 66 70 75 78 80 76 Mississippi
38 30 30 31 39 40 48 53 61 67 71 74 82 85 77 Maryland
70 69 70 78 78 85 87 88 90 91 83 77 69 73 78 Northern Illinois
87 85 85 81 83 78 74 73 74 72 72 78 84 83 79 Marshall
74 73 75 71 63 65 65 72 73 75 81 84 81 78 80 Duke
58 59 77 86 85 94 97 96 98 90 77 70 70 71 81 Minnesota
107 108 104 103 103 101 98 99 94 88 85 81 77 77 82 Arkansas State
69 68 68 67 68 70 72 75 76 81 80 80 79 81 83 Navy
110 110 110 110 93 84 77 66 69 74 79 83 85 84 84 La-Lafayette
104 104 103 99 100 100 105 102 103 93 87 79 71 68 85 Wyoming
102 103 102 101 101 92 83 78 81 85 86 90 93 92 86 W. Michigan
81 82 83 84 81 81 82 84 83 79 82 86 83 82 87 East Carolina
53 50 46 59 60 62 62 79 84 92 94 92 92 90 88 Hawaii
72 74 76 77 74 76 80 82 78 76 76 85 87 93 89 Fresno State
94 95 94 94 95 95 91 92 95 96 96 95 96 89 90 Utah State
92 94 93 92 90 88 95 101 110 106 105 101 97 86 91 Ohio
95 91 80 69 71 64 71 70 77 83 91 88 90 91 92 Florida Int'l
116 116 116 116 114 112 109 98 97 94 97 97 95 94 93 San Jose State
111 112 112 113 113 113 113 111 102 99 92 89 88 87 94 W. Kentucky
88 88 89 93 94 96 96 93 88 86 89 93 86 95 95 UAB
84 87 90 88 88 83 85 86 87 89 93 96 98 98 96 Army
76 78 79 80 87 90 90 90 92 100 99 98 100 100 97 Rice
77 75 73 75 80 89 94 95 99 98 95 94 94 96 98 Miami OH
89 89 95 97 102 104 101 97 91 87 88 87 91 99 99 UTEP
82 81 81 82 84 82 84 85 89 97 100 100 103 103 100 Kansas
106 107 109 109 110 109 108 108 108 105 106 107 105 106 101 La-Monroe
100 100 98 107 109 111 114 115 116 113 112 106 99 97 102 Kent State
119 119 113 108 108 102 99 94 96 101 102 99 102 104 103 NM State
108 106 106 105 97 98 102 105 101 102 101 104 104 102 104 Bowling Green
101 101 100 100 99 103 100 103 107 110 110 110 108 107 105 Colorado State
120 120 120 119 119 118 118 116 113 112 104 102 101 101 106 E. Michigan
113 109 108 106 98 99 103 106 105 107 111 109 106 105 107 Ball State
103 102 101 104 105 106 107 109 104 104 103 105 107 108 108 Middle Tenn
97 93 92 91 91 93 93 100 100 103 107 112 109 109 109 Troy State
99 99 105 95 96 97 92 91 93 95 98 103 112 113 110 UNLV
112 114 117 117 116 115 110 110 106 109 108 111 110 110 111 North Texas
93 96 97 96 106 110 112 112 111 111 109 108 111 111 112 Indiana
96 97 96 98 107 108 111 114 115 115 114 113 113 112 113 Idaho
98 98 99 102 104 105 106 107 112 116 116 117 118 114 114 Tulane
105 105 107 111 111 107 104 104 109 108 113 114 115 115 115 C. Michigan
109 111 111 112 112 116 117 117 118 119 119 118 117 117 116 New Mexico
118 118 118 118 118 117 115 113 114 114 115 115 116 118 117 Buffalo
114 113 115 115 117 119 119 119 117 117 117 116 114 116 118 Memphis
115 115 114 114 115 114 116 118 119 118 118 119 119 119 119 Florida Atlantic
117 117 119 120 120 120 120 120 120 120 120 120 120 120 120 Akron

 


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